Latest Maybank research report rule out privatization now, instead view
current share buyback and cancellation is to increase YTL corp stake in
YTLP from 55% to above 70% by 2014,
The main reason Maybank research report rule out privatization now is that
'conditions
not ripe for a share swap. YTLP has outperformed parent YTL Corp by 42%
YTD, meaning a share swap at present would be more dilutive for the
Yeoh family. A privitisation offer is hence unlikely in the near term.
The swap ratio (YTL Corp / YTLP share price) is at its 18-month low,
which means that YTL Corp is a better proposition for proponents of the
privatization, in our view'
However, under my analysis, Yeoh
family control effective stake in YTLP through YTL crop is only 22%
(Yeoh family only control 49.11% in YTL crop, which control 44.9% in
YTLP). Yeoh family have larger direct stake in YTLP through
1. Cornerstone Crest(Yeoh private control investment company): 6.35%
2. Yeoh and Son bhd: 3.73
3. Yeoh other family member: 0.74%
4. control more than 75% YTLP WB: 12%
5. 87% entitlement of ESOS share: 8.7%
Totaling direct stake is 31.52%.
Therefore,
if privatization now, at higher ratio, example 1 YTLP: 1.5 YTL crop, the dilution in Yeoh family in YTL
corp stake is gain back via more higher direct stake in YTLP
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